{"id":1032,"date":"2012-07-05T11:29:40","date_gmt":"2012-07-05T15:29:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alexprudhomme.com\/?p=1032"},"modified":"2012-07-05T11:29:40","modified_gmt":"2012-07-05T15:29:40","slug":"jay-famiglietti-tells-like","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alexprudhomme.com\/2012\/07\/05\/jay-famiglietti-tells-like\/","title":{"rendered":"Jay Famiglietti tells it like it is"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: 35px; line-height: 42px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/2012\/07\/02\/wanted-vision-and-leadership-to-ensure-a-sustainable-water-future-for-america\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Wanted: Vision and Leadership to Ensure a Sustainable Water Future for America<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/1.gravatar.com\/avatar\/74d6f92804cef2f6edb645f01db2c184?s=58&amp;d=http%3A%2F%2Fnewswatch.nationalgeographic.com%2Fwp-includes%2Fimages%2Fblank.gif&amp;r=G\" alt=\"\" width=\"58\" height=\"58\" \/>Posted by\u00a0<a title=\"Posts by Jay Famiglietti\" href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/author\/jfamigli\/\">Jay Famiglietti<\/a>\u00a0of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ess.uci.edu\/\">University of California, Irvine<\/a>\u00a0in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/blog\/water-currents\/\">Water Currents<\/a>\u00a0on\u00a0<abbr title=\"2012-07-02T21:16:29+00:00\">July 2, 2012<\/abbr><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div><a title=\"Comment on Wanted: Vision and Leadership to Ensure a Sustainable Water Future for America\" href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/2012\/07\/02\/wanted-vision-and-leadership-to-ensure-a-sustainable-water-future-for-america\/#respond\" rev=\"post-52143\">(0)<\/a><\/div>\n<div><a title=\"Send to 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frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" width=\"320\" height=\"240\"><\/iframe><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"___plusone_0\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"I0_1341501930831\" title=\"+1\" name=\"I0_1341501930831\" src=\"https:\/\/plusone.google.com\/_\/+1\/fastbutton?bsv=pr&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fnewswatch.nationalgeographic.com%2F2012%2F07%2F02%2Fwanted-vision-and-leadership-to-ensure-a-sustainable-water-future-for-america%2F&amp;size=medium&amp;count=true&amp;origin=http%3A%2F%2Fnewswatch.nationalgeographic.com&amp;hl=en-US&amp;jsh=m%3B%2F_%2Fapps-static%2F_%2Fjs%2Fgapi%2F__features__%2Frt%3Dj%2Fver%3DqtvzPMli2GA.en_US.%2Fsv%3D1%2Fam%3D!0Tt3uNrLr0Coc6egjA%2Fd%3D1%2Frs%3DAItRSTOtcgAD4dpnSQl_RohzS0XsePhHFg#_methods=onPlusOne%2C_ready%2C_close%2C_open%2C_resizeMe%2C_renderstart&amp;id=I0_1341501930831&amp;parent=http%3A%2F%2Fnewswatch.nationalgeographic.com\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" width=\"100%\" height=\"240\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><a title=\"Email\" href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/2012\/07\/02\/wanted-vision-and-leadership-to-ensure-a-sustainable-water-future-for-america\/#\">Share on email<\/a><a title=\"View more services\" href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/2012\/07\/02\/wanted-vision-and-leadership-to-ensure-a-sustainable-water-future-for-america\/#\">More \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div id=\"v-N5I3GZ9A-1\">\n<div id=\"v-N5I3GZ9A-1-placeholder\">\n<div lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">GRACE California NASA\/UCI\/JPL<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Watch: GRACE California NASA\/UCI\/JPL\" src=\"https:\/\/videos.videopress.com\/N5I3GZ9A\/central_valley_pushin_iprw_v002_001_std.original.jpg\" alt=\"GRACE California NASA\/UCI\/JPL\" width=\"400&quot;\" height=\"224\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\u25b6<\/div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s0.videopress.com\/i\/videopress.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"90\" height=\"13\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"v-N5I3GZ9A-1-video\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>GRACE California NASA\/UCI\/JPL<\/div>\n<div>Animation of groundwater water storage changes in California from the NASA GRACE mission. Video courtesy of NASA\/UCI\/JPL.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\nI recently wrote a\u00a0<a title=\"Famiglietti AGU Fellows Speak\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.ucchm.org\/2012\/06\/28\/rallying-around-our-known-unknowns-what-we-dont-know-will-hurt-us\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">piece for the Hydrology Newsletter<\/a>\u00a0of the American Geophysical Union \u2014 the international professional society of Earth and Space scientists based in the United States \u2014 and I thought that the modified version presented here would be important to share with the readership of Water Currents.<br \/>\nHere\u2019s the set-up. A critical problem that we face in the U.S. is that as a country, we lack the vision and leadership to clearly articulate our fundamental water issues, and to implement a comprehensive plan to tackle them. As usual, my focus is on water quantity for large regions such as nations and continents, which is my area of expertise.<br \/>\nI\u2019m talking about big picture issues here \u2013 the forest, not the trees \u2013 because many of our local, state, and federal agencies are doing a superb job with their targeted missions.\u00a0 The USGS, NASA, NOAA, DOE, the National Weather Service, the Army Corps, the Bureau of Reclamation, etc., are all doing great things with the limited resources that they have.<br \/>\nBut we need to step up and recognize that there\u2019s a lot that we don\u2019t know about water availability, and even more that we can\u2019t predict. The general public and our elected officials need to know the issues so that we can make the investments that we need today, in order to propose technologically advanced, science-based management and solution strategies for tomorrow. The forest is in trouble, and the trees are already dying off. \u00a0It\u2019s time to act.<br \/>\nTo illustrate my point, here are a few of what I\u2019ve been calling the \u2018unfortunate realities\u2019 of modern hydrology. I\u2019ve been elaborating on these this year in a series of lectures, called the<a title=\"GSA Birdsall-Dreiss site\" href=\"https:\/\/gsahydro.fiu.edu\/BirdsallDreiss.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Birdsall-Dreiss Distinguished Lectureship<\/a>, sponsored by the Geological Society of America.\u00a0 The lecture tour has provided a rare opportunity to visit with colleagues in the U.S. and abroad, and to construct a holistic picture of the water landscape of the 21st century.<strong><\/strong><em><strong><\/strong><\/em><br \/>\n<em><strong>Unfortunate Reality #1<\/strong>.\u00a0<a title=\"New Scientist article\" href=\"https:\/\/newscientist1.blogspot.com\/2012\/02\/uncharted-waters-probing-aquifers-to.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">We don\u2019t know how much fresh water we have on land<\/a>. Not stored as groundwater, or surface water, as soil moisture, or as snow.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>How much snow do we have in the Rocky Mountains right now? We have a guess, but we can\u2019t really measure it. So\u2026we don\u2019t know.<\/em><br \/>\n<em><a title=\"USGS Central Valley report\" href=\"https:\/\/pubs.usgs.gov\/pp\/1766\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">How much groundwater is stored beneath California\u2019s Central Valley<\/a>, and how much of it is potable?\u00a0 Well, we don\u2019t really know that either.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>Believe it. It\u2019s true. And not just in the U.S., but all over the world.\u00a0 Many estimates, for example, of national groundwater supplies, are simply guesses based on ad hoc assumptions.\u00a0 Others are reports of water storage in man-made reservoirs.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>If you have any notion of how we can address sustainable water management as a nation, without knowing how much water is actually there, please let me know.<\/em><strong><\/strong><br \/>\n<em><strong>Unfortunate Reality #2.<\/strong>\u00a0Our knowledge of Earth\u2019s water environment at the surface and shallow subsurface remains appallingly insufficient. We know very little about the topography that we can\u2019t see beneath the water surface, for example, the bathymetry of hundreds of thousands of river channels, floodplains, and lakes.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>Nor do we have any idea how deep our soils are, at least at larger regional, national, and global scales. While t<a title=\"WHYMAP site\" href=\"https:\/\/www.whymap.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">wo-dimensional maps of global hydrogeology<\/a>\u00a0are now available, the third dimension, as well as basic aquifer parameters, remain a mystery for large areas like nations and continents.<\/em><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/2012\/07\/02\/wanted-vision-and-leadership-to-ensure-a-sustainable-water-future-for-america\/whymap_140\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-52200\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/files\/2012\/07\/whymap_140.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"465\" height=\"375\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nTwo-dimensional map of global hydrogeology from WHYMAP, https:\/\/whymap.org<br \/>\n<em>Why is this important? Well for one, we need the information to quantify how much water we have.\u00a0 Second, we need to include its digital description in our computer models so that we can better predict floods, drought and water availability in the future.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>How, for example, can we predict global change impacts on groundwater resources, if we can\u2019t realistically represent the characteristics of the soil and groundwater reservoirs in our computer models? \u00a0The answer is of course, that we cannot.<\/em><br \/>\n<em><strong>Unfortunate Reality #3.<\/strong>\u00a0Our nation\u2019s hydrologic modeling assets \u2014 the computer models that we use to understand and forecast water availability, flooding, and drought \u2014 \u00a0are simply not up to the task of addressing our most pressing societal issues of food, energy, water, and national security. We are behind where we need to be, and we are falling behind other nations.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>Don\u2019t get me wrong: we are making slow, steady progress.\u00a0<a title=\"High-resolution global hydrologic modeling\" href=\"https:\/\/www.agu.org\/pubs\/crossref\/2011\/2010WR010090.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Our computer models are running at higher resolution<\/a>, with greater fidelity, and are providing unprecedented insights into issues of water quality and quantity.\u00a0 But the list of what these tools can\u2019t, yet need to do, is long, and current levels of investment won\u2019t get us there any time soon.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>If you thought that we had state-of-the-art, comprehensive computer models that could seamlessly ingest satellite observations and measurements on the ground to help monitor and forecast snowpack, river flows, soil water and groundwater levels; or that could accurately reproduce\u00a0<a title=\"Science News story\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencenews.org\/view\/generic\/id\/337097\/title\/Groundwater_dropping_globally\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the realities of water landscape that are emerging from satellite programs like the GRACE mission<\/a>\u2026well, we don\u2019t.<\/em><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/2012\/07\/02\/wanted-vision-and-leadership-to-ensure-a-sustainable-water-future-for-america\/india\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-52225\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/files\/2012\/07\/India-600x386.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"386\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nGroundwater depletion in India from GRACE. Image courtesy of NASA\/UCI\/JPL. After Rodell et al., 2009, Nature.<br \/>\nLet\u2019s face facts. We can\u2019t really manage water sustainably now, nor can we predict water availability in the future, without dealing with these issues first.\u00a0 \u00a0It is absolutely essential that we determine how much water we have, as snow, surface water, soil moisture and groundwater;\u00a0 how much water we need, for humans and for the environment; and how these quantities will change with time, as climate and population changes, and as we adapt to a resource-limited future.\u00a0 We need to move forward with core observations and models that can utilize them to answer these questions, to advance prediction and to help prepare for the future.<br \/>\nHow can we accomplish this? \u00a0Since we lack a national water czar, policy, or agency in the U.S., much of what I\u2019m writing about here has fallen through the cracks for too long.\u00a0 There\u2019s no one there to take ownership.<br \/>\nConsequently, vision and leadership are sorely needed.\u00a0 We need champions.\u00a0 Our elected officials must embrace this sustainable water challenge through awareness, commitment, and focus.<br \/>\nResearch leadership, from our funding agencies through communities of investigators, must also take responsibility for making it happen.\u00a0 Communication of key results and research needs to elected officials and to the general public, though atypical for this group, is becoming increasingly important to heighten awareness<br \/>\nThere\u2019s a grand challenge on the table.\u00a0 We must aggressively tackle the frontiers of:<br \/>\n<em>1) Exploration and mapping\u00a0<\/em><em>of Earth\u2019s shallow crustal water environment<\/em><em>, including its freshwater bathymetry, soils, hydrogeology, its water quantity and quality,\u00a0<em>and synthesis of available information<\/em>.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>2) Advanced digital water data and information system capabilities for archiving and disseminating these data, with open, easy access to all information.\u00a0 New policies for sharing environmental data across political boundaries are also required.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>3) Development of next-generation computer models that readily exploit this new information, as well as capabilities to evolve with rapid advances in computer power and the structure of the internet.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>4) Clear pathways to transfer newly developed tools, observations and research results to water managers and practitioners, environmental decision makers, and a plan for communication to the public.<\/em><br \/>\nNational research programs, like\u00a0<a title=\"EarthCube Ning site\" href=\"https:\/\/earthcube.ning.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NSF\u2019s EarthCube<\/a>, and\u00a0<a title=\"Third CHyMP report\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cuahsi.org\/chymp.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">innovative activities<\/a>\u00a0led by hydrology\u2019s university consortium,\u00a0<a title=\"CUAHSI site\" href=\"https:\/\/cuahsi.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CUASHI<\/a>, are all part of what could be a\u00a0<a title=\"A Strategy for Accelerating the Development of Hydrological Models: Societal Needs, Observational Requirements and Public Communication\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.ucchm.org\/resources\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">national strategy<\/a>\u00a0for accelerating the development of advanced monitoring and prediction capabilities for water availability.\u00a0 Meanwhile, individual teams of principle investigators are making important strides towards synthesizing available information on\u00a0<a title=\"Africa water resources\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/science-environment-17775211\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">continental<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a title=\"Global permeability synthesis\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedaily.com\/releases\/2011\/01\/110124091245.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">global-scale\u00a0<\/a>water availability.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/2012\/07\/02\/wanted-vision-and-leadership-to-ensure-a-sustainable-water-future-for-america\/africa\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-52232\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/newswatch.nationalgeographic.com\/files\/2012\/07\/africa-600x369.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"369\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nEstimated groundwater storage in Africa as a) depth in mm, with recharge as solid lines for comparison; and b) volume by country with error bars. From MacDonald et al., 2012, Environmental Research Letters..<br \/>\nHowever, we cannot escape the reality that our national investment in arguably our most fundamental resource lags embarrassingly far behind similar investments in other disciplines (weather and climate prediction; space exploration) or resources (energy and minerals).\u00a0 We must plan for major, new investments in the tools and resources \u2014 namely models, observations, and data products and information systems \u2014 to enable the critical understanding and solution strategies that society demands, and that the research community is capable of delivering.<br \/>\nFinally, communication and public education are essential to achieve broad awareness and consensus.\u00a0 People care deeply about water.\u00a0 The environment requires it to maintain its health and function.\u00a0 Both will be best served only when our critical water issues are elevated to the level of everyday understanding.\u00a0 Only then can we make a complete commitment to a sustainable water future for America.\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wanted: Vision and Leadership to Ensure a Sustainable Water Future for America Posted by\u00a0Jay Famiglietti\u00a0of\u00a0University of California, Irvine\u00a0in\u00a0Water Currents\u00a0on\u00a0July 2, 2012 (0) Share on emailMore \u00bb GRACE California NASA\/UCI\/JPL \u25b6 GRACE California NASA\/UCI\/JPL Animation of groundwater water storage changes in California from the NASA GRACE mission. Video courtesy of NASA\/UCI\/JPL. I recently wrote a\u00a0piece for&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Jay Famiglietti tells it like it is - Alex Prud&#039;homme<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alexprudhomme.com\/2012\/07\/05\/jay-famiglietti-tells-like\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Jay Famiglietti tells it like it is - Alex Prud&#039;homme\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Wanted: Vision and Leadership to Ensure a Sustainable Water Future for America Posted by\u00a0Jay Famiglietti\u00a0of\u00a0University of California, Irvine\u00a0in\u00a0Water Currents\u00a0on\u00a0July 2, 2012 (0) Share on emailMore \u00bb GRACE California NASA\/UCI\/JPL \u25b6 GRACE California NASA\/UCI\/JPL Animation of groundwater water storage changes in California from the NASA GRACE mission. 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